We all have opinions, but not all of us have statistics. I’ve collated data now and again over my close to 6 years playing, but never as exhaustively as this.
I’ve tracked every single Latest Legend pull for 578 pulls (meaning this data does not include pulls from new release/special stores). This data also does not include placement/progression/feeder covers. However, CP and Latest LT’s earned from these events/rewards are included as they are from the same Latest store with the same predetermined pull rates.
In that time:
90 x 5s (15.57%)
488 x 4s.
For 4* Bonus Heroes, I’ve pulled 27 total Bonus Heroes (5.53% of 4s pulled)
For 5* Bonus Heroes, I’ve pulled 3 total Bonus Heroes (3.33% of 5s pulled)
It has been 185 total pulls since my last 5* BH.
It has been 43 total pulls since my last 4* BH.
Granted my sample size is not huge, but I thought 500+ was getting closer to something significant. Maybe we can collate other data from other 500+ record keepers.
I have individual 4*s pulled, but my top 3 pulls are Lockjaw (12), Main Event Hulk (12), and Ant-man (11).
My bottom 3 are Rogue (1), War Machine (1), and Spider-Gwen (1).
Total 5s drawn:107 (16.26%)
Total 5 BH (above the 107 organic pulls): 5 (4.6%)
Total 4* BH: 30 (5.44%)
I also have 164 Classic pulls tracked (much less useful, but I stopped pulling heavily out of classic shortly after I started tracking pulls)
Total organic 5* Pulls: 28 (17.07%)
Total 5* BH: 1 (3.57%)
Total 4* BH: 10 (6.49%)
I don’t track bonus heroes from other stores, but I feel that I get a statistically significant number of them from the event tokens (pvp/pve) I pull. Not that many out of heroics.
LOL. I’ve had 8 total since 5* BHs were introduced. My rates have always been atrocious, but I figured I’d get farther with proper data analysis only using properly recorded data.
Recently pulled 1250 latests and although I didn’t track 4*'s, I know I got 9 5* BH off of 175 5* pulls, which equates to a little over 5%, or the expected rate on those.
1250 pulls? Wow! How long did that take to build up? Also curious how long it took to pull and juggle all the covers.
Lastly, if you ever feel like making a video cracking a hoard like that, please let us know.
I am only guessing but I would wager my 5* BH total is somewhere in the realm of 10 total. I have finished JJ and BB both with feeders and BH for the most part.
This isn’t true. Or at least not the way you wrote it, it isn’t true.
The 5% rate is per token store (latest LT, classic LT, heroic, limited release, PvP event etc). So drawing a bonus hero in a heroic store has nothing to do with drawing one in an LT store.
Furthermore, the 5* rate only applies on tokens eligible for a BH. This is why in standard tokens, EVERY 3* gives a BH since the 3* draw rate is < 5%. It also means that for elite/heroic tokens the 5* rate is only applying to the 3/4* covers which is why it seems you get way more BH on heroics/elites because 75% of those tokens are 2* which aren’t eligible. That means the 5% BH is distributed across the remaining 25% of tokens so you get a BH from an elite/heroic roughly 1/5 times (5/25).
I pulled them in one evening, maybe 1-2hrs total. I purposely didn’t apply anything until I was done so I could track how many 5’s I got. I would guess it was about a year in the making? I last pulled in latests when Okoye was still in there. So maybe a little over a year. I am one of those hoarders who believes not all 5’s are created equally, so I have no interest in chasing the bad ones, like Kingpin or Wasp. Don’t want to reward bad character design.
As much as these explanations make sense, it feels bad to players (me) who think the bonus rate should be based on tier and not on token.
That may have been the point of doing it per token, to keep the bonus 5 rate lower than 5% in practice. Who knows.
But the fact that it is basically impossible (or very improbable) to get a 5% bonus rate compared to your overall number of 5* covers is, well, it seems very unfair to me when I think most people would rightly assume that the 5% rate means per tier - since you are selecting your bonus character in each tier.
I don’t track those, but I also don’t pull in them generally. In all of 2019, I’ve maybe pulled..20 total spread out across a few? Because I pull as I go, I’m never in a position to pull more than 5-8 from any given store, so i don’t bother. Outside of earned tokens.
I’ve been keeping data for Latest Legend pulls since the end of January. I’ve received 77 5* from 442 total pulls for a 17.42% pull rate. So it’s nice to be ahead of RNG for the moment.
Bonus heroes over those pulls is a bit different. I’ve have received just 14 bonus heroes for those 442 pulls (12 4* and 2 5*). That is a drop rate of 3.16%.
And while it is a small sample size, I pulled 10 4* out of 10 tries with no bonus on the Fan Favorite store that just ended.
I need to start tracking. I’ve been wondering how bad my run of luck on Latests has been. 2+ pulls per day, and I haven’t seen a 4* or 5* BH hero since last Season. Figure I’m probably going to get one on my first pull after this Shield Training ends, given that I’ve got Torch at 9 covers right now
I just have a google sheet going with columns for:
Date | Name | Color | bonus hero | 5*
I have conditional formatting set up on the color column to put the background to whatever color it is, then on the bonus hero it looks for a 1 and turns bright blue, and on the 5* it also looks for a 1 and turns it purple with white font. this lets me drop a SUM= box at the bottom quickly and see the total in either column. I’m not Excel-savvy enough to find a way to adjust for bonus 5*s automagically, so i generally have to scroll down and parse that out manually, then do the math for threads like this one when they appear. I have a tab for Latest and a tab for Classic.
It’s relatively easy to update from my phone as I pull them.
