About a week or so back, I got around to opening roughly an entire season’s worth of tokens. I saved every token I earned from both PvP and PvE, with the exception being the taco tokens. This amounted to 414 silver tokens, 94 mixed gold tokens, and a 10-pack. Submitted for your consideration, the meaningful results of the endeavor. (hidden for easier consumption, including fancy-schmancy images)
414 silver tokens:
[spoiler]Opened in one grand ceremony totaling 43 minutes.
52,250
from sales of
and
covers
cover pulls:
(x2)
(x2)
[/spoiler]
94 mixed
[spoiler]31,560
from sales of
covers
and
pulls, by event type:
Iso Brotherhood
Prodigal Sun
Magnetic Mayhem
Thick as Thieves
Divine Champions
Enemy of the State
Lethal Intent
Women of Marvel
Generic Heroic Tokens
Heroic 10-pack
[/spoiler]
(Purely subjective) Conclusions:
The rates for getting 3* pulls is about equal for silver and gold tokens.
IsoBros rule! By volume, the best 3* payouts by far over any other type of token. I even got 3 in a row, including that Elektra cover.
10-pack is a 10-crock. Although I got two 3*, that’s exactly two more than I’ve received from the last four or 5 seasons’ 10-packs.
Opening a metric buttload of tokens at the same time feels a whole hell of a lot less disappointing than being let down one at a time after each event or as the tokens come.
Please note that I said “completely subjective” conclusions there. Please read that as “taken with creative liberties for the sake of amusement.”
For reference, it was 94 tokens plus a 10-pack for a total of 104 gold pulls.
As for the discrepancy with the Iso sales out of those golds, I strongly suspect that since I was forced to break up my opening due to work reasons, I ended up gaining and selling some other assortment of covers or rewards that tossed the numbers off. Obviously I was only paying very close attention to the Iso during the silver pulls. My real focus as you can imagine was on the 3* covers.
Anyway, hope it gives everyone some small entertainment. I’ll be back at the end of this season for round two of “Don’t you have anything better to do with two hours of your time?!”
I have a hunch that there’s an x% chance that a standard token resolves as a heroic token and (1-x) as a 1*. Anecdotally I’ve observed ~1/40 chance at a 3*, broadly consistent with these observations, which would back into approximately 1/8 chance of a standard resolving heroically.
Anyone else have observations to support or disprove the contention?
However:
Odds on a regular heroics are 83.6, 14, 2.4
Odds of standards based on that thread are 13.8, 2.4, 0.02, which normalized to 100 is 85.1, 14.8, .1.
It looks close, but the severe lack of 4* pulls from the standards means it’s more probable that the standard has it’s own set of odds, rather than just resolving as a Heroic.
That brings to mind another funny thing. We can tap that little ? on the various gold screens to see exactly how crappy…sorry, what the odds are for those tokens. Why isn’t there one of those for the standards? We all get more of them by an order of magnitude, is it not valuable information to share? My conspiracy sense is tingling, and it’s telling me that the unpublished odds would reveal that you’re about as likely to get a 3*!
If you sit down and count, you’ll surely find you’re getting a lot more than you think. This is true for all rewards, provided you are playing pretty regularly and fairly intensely. I rank pretty well in both PvP and PvE so it’s a combination of grinding rewards and placement that nets those numbers. Hell, I’m sure there are plenty of folk on the forum here who would easily outstrip that number if they chose to follow the same path I did. It also didn’t hurt that the ran the IsoBro PvE which is arguably the best event out there, both for fun and rewards.
Yeah actually now that it’s mentioned, 500 is a lot.
I think my yearly total so far is only around that many (might be 600), and there’s maybe 2 events where I didn’t get the progression tokens. I’m not grinding PvE for placement any more, so that certainly explains a little bit of the gap, but I don’t think there’s that many available in the pve subs.
I may have had a grip of silver tokens sitting around before I decided not to open anything throughout the season. Even so, it was surely less than 100. I suppose if anyone is still playing this game in another month, we’ll have a chance to see what the future holds.
