RNG once you've got covers

I’m trying to estimate how many pulls I’ll need to cover Thanos. I’ve now got him at 2/2/2 and am sitting on 1250 cp, it seems like I should need approximately 163 pulls (300*7/13), but maybe I’m oversimplifying the math?

Any thoughts?

Statistically every twentieth Latest Legends token should be a Thanos. You need seven covers, so that should mean 140 pulls, or 3500 CP.
Some extra pulls to be on The safe side wouldn’t hurt though.

Excellent math;

Ran it through my simulator (10,000 times) starting Thanos @ 2/2/2

With CS Assistance
It’ll take between 24 and 409 latest tokens to finish Thanos with an average of 139

W/o CS Assistance
It’ll take between 26 and 608 latest tokens to finish Thanos with an average of 163

@Henderos (and sorry for stealing thread icon_e_smile.gif

I have Strange at 4-4-3. Can you do the match on maxing him? My Thanos is at 1 cover and BW - 2-2-2. Ideally I would like to pull 3 blue covers to have him respeced by CS to have 5 in Yellow but RNG would not be that kind (no plans to champion him).

To Max Strange (min < avg < max)
w/o CS assistance
2 < 46 < 318

w/ CS assistance
2 < 39 < 266

Sample


-Starting Position----------------------
Thanos          [1/0/0] [1]
Black Widow     [2/2/2] [6]
Dr. Strange     [4/4/3] [11]
Number of Legendary Tokens: 44
Number of 4 Star Covers: 40 (90.91%)
Number of 5 Star Covers: 4 (9.09%)
Number of 5 Star Covers Sold:  (%)
-----------------------
Thanos          [1/2/0] [3]
Black Widow     [2/2/2] [6]
Dr. Strange     [4/6/3] [13]

Edit: I know it says 6, but that’s with CS help; it’s just a race to 13.

Thanks. And 9% sounds about right with my luck icon_e_smile.gif