Hello everyone,
I read many things about entering the 5* world but I still hesitate between three strategies to champion my first 5* characters.
I mainly play in PVE for progression in SCL 8 though I can play in SCL 9. I sometimes play for placement and I can reach the top 10 of the event, but most of the times I just play what is requested to earn the last reward of the event to just get the CP. I also play DDQ. I rarely play PVP.
My current 5* roster:
- Black Bolt (433, numbers of covers in the 3 powers)- Gambit (422)
- The Hulk BB (412)
- Jean Grey (312)
- Daredevil (042)
- Wasp (212)
- Black Widow (202)
- Spider Man PP (220)
- Black Panther (121)
- Captain America PA (121)
- Loki (211)
- Hawkey, Doctor Strange, Ghost Rider, Silver Surfer, Wolverine, Captain Marvel, Iron Man Mx, and Star-Lord: 3 covers.
- Thanos, Jessica Jones, Thor, Archangel, Green Goblin, Kingpin, Cable, Captain America IW: 2 covers
- The rest with one cover including Kitty Pride (010) and Okoye (100), except Beta Ray Bill, Carnage, and Storm who have no covers.
The three strategies I can think from what I read from the forums are:
- The 3 champions from the Recent Legends pack when at least two good ones are available;
- Black Bolt (433, numbers of covers in the 3 powers that I have) maybe with Gambit5 (422);
- Kitty Pride (010) or Okoye (100).
I wrote a Python program to estimate by means of simulations the number of pulls needed to fully cover a chosen 5* character from the Recent or Classic Legends vault.
This paragraph details the simulations. You can skip to the next paragraph if your are not interested in the details. The program requests the number of simulations to estimate the statistic results, the number of covers already owned in each power, the number of characters in the pool (3 for Recent Legends and 36 for Classic Legends at the time of writing this message), and the number of pulls I want to do without giving the shards to the character target. The program assumes that all shards provided by the pulls are given to the character target except the first pulls indicated by the last program parameters. The piece of software assumes that all shards given to the character will be saved until it is be possible to fully cover the character with the shards. It contrasts with the idea that we could immediately give 500 hundreds shards as soon as they are available for a cover to improve quickly the character but that increases the likelihood to have more than 5 covers in one power before the character is fully covered. It also assumes that D3 respects the claimed probabilities: 1 chance out of 7 to pull a 5* cover, and all covers are evenly distributed.
Nothing else than using the shards and pulling covers from the Recent or Classic Legends vault is taken into account. For examples, we could exchange 250 CP against a character cover if it becomes available in “Heroes to hire” (or a similar name), or we could earn a cover in a special event, or we could produce covers feeding the right 4* character… So one should be able to champion a character in a little bit less of time than what the Python program estimates.
The statistics that will follow were each estimaded with 10000 trials assuming 36 heroes in the Classic Legends pack, although more heroes will slowly join the pack over time.
I will give my current thoughts about the three strategies in three other posts instead of a long one. This way, anyone will be able to easily quote one strategy independently of the others to provide feed the discussion about strategies.
I thank you in advance for any piece of advise.