There’ve been a lot of complaints in my alliance about the new bonus character system and I suspect that this is true of the community at large. I don’t think the new system is terrible but it’s definitely not as good as the developers would like us to believe. Here’s why:
First, from what I can tell, the odds of drawing the various star tiers are pretty much the same as they were before. From what I’ve seen, these are the same odds as they were previously:
4* = 7%
3* = 25%
2* = 68%
The difference is in the distribution of those pulls. I’ll compile these based on the 4* results since that’s what I see most of the complaints about. Previously, if you were looking for a specific 4* - HulkBuster perhaps – you had to divide that 7% chance by the total number of 4s in the game (a smidge over 40). This left you with less than 2/10ths of a percent chance of pulling that single 4 that you were hoping to pull. Basically, your chance of pulling that HulkBuster were diluted by equal odds of pulling Drax, Elektra, or any number of other useless characters.
With the new system, only the most recent dozen characters are available. This means that you have almost 6/10ths of a percent chance (7% / 12) of drawing a specific new character that you’re looking for (Hello, Peggy!). You don’t have to worry about drawing Drax or Elektra because they’re not in the pool of 12.
But what about our HulkBuster? This is where the bonus character comes in – on any pull, you have a 5% chance of triggering your bonus. This means the odds of triggering your 4* bonus character are 5% * 7% - or about 3.5/10ths of a percent. Not great – but you are twice as likely to pull your HB under the new system than you were under the old (I did some rounding before - it’s about 0.0017 under the old compared to 0.0035 under the new). This assumes that you only mark one 4* as a bonus hero. If you mark more than one, you have to divide that percentage chance by however many you marked.
When it comes to focusing on a specific character that you want to collect and champion, the new system is better hands down. But – and it’s a big but – we should name it Kardashian or something – 9 of the widely considered top 10 4*s are not new characters. Under the old system, we had an almost 2% chance of pulling a top 10 character. Even if we didn’t pull HB, we had a pretty fair chance of getting iceman, jg, 4clops or some other good character in exchange.
This is what hurts about the new system. Yes, I should be able to champion a single character quicker but I’ll get fewer covers of other characters that I care about. Let’s face it, there are some pretty meh characters in the dirty dozen – wasp, gwenpool, riri, agent venom… we have an increased chance to pull these rather underpowered characters at the expense of being able to pull some studs like jg or xfdp.
This is great for folks that maybe had a good 4* roster and had all the studs already but I’m on the front edge of the 4* transition and this seems a bit unfair.
Anyway, I’m keeping an open mind about the new system but I wish we could pick the contents of the vault rather than it being the newest dozen.
