From what I’ve read in the forums these are the basic concepts:
-
Each player has something like an Elo Rating.
-
This rating is based on the player’s accumulated career wins and losses.
-
The matchmaking algorithm pairs players with the same/similar Elo ratings.
-
Bracketed tourneys are filled on a first-come basis, when you start (or complete?) your first fight.
-
You aren’t necessarily competing directly against the people in your bracket, because they are likely to be in various matchmaking rating groups.
-
In theory, anyone can win a bracketed PvP tourney, because they ascend based on points earned fighting similarly skilled/equipped characters.
However, I’m not certain all of the above are accurate. Based on what I’ve seen two weeks in a row now, player rating may be based on tourney placement rather than individual match wins and losses. Others have discussed it elsewhere and I’ve experienced it myself: placing poorly in lightning rounds immediately affects matchmaking in the weekly tournament when the lightning round completes. This doesn’t seem to have anything to do with the number or ratio of wins and losses in the lightning round, only final placement in the 90-minute unbracketed tournament based on score. After placing in the bottom tier of two or three lightning rounds, most of the opponents I see skipping through the 3* tourney offer me less than 10 points, while before it was easy to find 25 point and higher targets.
But oddly enough, while my weekly tournament matchmaking appears to be noticeably affected, I still seem to run up against the same ridiculously strong opponents in subsequent lightning rounds. Why is that? Are matchmaking groups also bracketed to a certain Elo-type rating range, while in the unbracketed lightning round the matchmaking is also unbracketed, so that you can be matched with a broader range of player ratings? Or is it that many of them, like me, got bumped down in rating while trying to participate?
Another uncertainty: while in theory everyone has an equal chance in a bracketed tournament like the 200-person weekly tourney, what if there are fewer participants in my matchmaking group? Is it possible that there are more (or less) total points available to people in another group, making it easier (or harder) for them to climb the rankings? I can’t say I’ve seen that specifically, but if it isn’t so then why would “tanking” my rating in the lightning round return so many low value targets back in the weekly tourney?
So that’s a lot of questions and no real answers from me. I’ve placed well in a few tourneys, so I’m not dissatisfied, other than the same problems many people already expressed with matchmaking. Just trying to better understand the system. Anybody have any insight?