draw rate reduction?

maybe i’m just going through a horrible stretch, but i used to get 1-5, 3* covers from standards in a week. i haven’t gotten one in a few months.

event tokens are a total write-off. haven’t gotten a 3* or better in months.

heroics have been a bit better, but my last 3 10 packs have resulted in 2 usable and 3 non usable 3and 1, 4

did they reduce draw rates or am i just getting the short end of the stick here?

RNG results in runs. I’ve had stretches where I’ve opened 120 standards and been rewarded with 10 2* and 0 3* for my sins, and I’ve had stretches where I’ve opened 120 standards and gotten 11 3* and 8 2*.

(I’ve noticed anecdotally that I tend to get about 2/12 2*+ from standards, which is why I open them in multiples of 12.)

It’s been a little dry on standards for me lately, but that said I need so few 3* covers at the moment that I haven’t gone fishing much either.

I dipped into my standard stash and opened 15, results:
1*
Spiderman - 4
Yelena - 3
Storm - 1
Juggernaut - 4
IM35 - 1
Hawkeye - 1

2*
OBW - 1

It sounds like you’re a streaky puller, like me. I’ve had runs where I was getting a gold or more per day. And then flip a switch and go on a cold, cold streak. It happens. icon_cool.gif

It’s RNGesus “smiling” upon you.

I’ve actually opened more 3*s from standard tokens this week then I have from Heroics and Event tokens. icon_rolleyes.gif

The thing about random number generators is it’s impossible for you on a personal scale to judge percentages.

lets take he .03 for singular 4 stars.

Thats not a guarantee you personally will get .03%. Thats what the VAULT guarentees.

A pack guarantees that of all other players drawing, the average will hit .03%. Some players can get 0% and some as high as maybe 10-20% and still manage to have a .03% average.

I notice tons of post take into account personal averages, but only the vault holds a personal average, every other thing in game operates on static unchanging odds, that average the whole playerbase, which i’m assuming is at least in the upper hundred thousands.

Mirroring both Puppychow & Madok, I’ve noticed that I’m pretty streaky, and for whatever reason, I always seem to do better with Standards than Heroics, event or otherwise.

I’m in a cold spell right now, batting zero in weeks of Standards & Heroics, and considering my (and my alliance’s) activity in both PvP and PvE as of late, that’s one heck of a downturn luck-wise.

I’ve said it what feels like a million times, but when the odds are as bad as they are to start, it’s not difficult to feel like you’re not doing well with your pulls. One Gold can feel like a million at times, and a million 1s and 2s can feel like, well, a million 1s and 2s.

DBC

probably just coincidence, but whenever i post about terrible pulls, i seem to get something useful afterwards. grabbed a yellow cage from last prodigal token.

Decided to open 9 legendary tokens that I was hoarding, and purchased 2 more via Command Points. So out of 11 pulls:

Keepers:
icon_silversurfer.png
blueflag.png
(from a CP earned from Prodigal Sun event icon_mrgreen.gif
)
icon_antman.png
blueflag.png
x2
star.png
star.png
star.png
star.png
icon_deadpool.png
purpleflag.png

star.png
star.png
star.png
star.png
icon_falcon.png
blueflag.png

And sold for iso:
icon_invisiblewoman.png
blueflag.png
(of course! I get an IW icon_lol.gif
)
star.png
star.png
star.png
star.png
icon_ironman.png
blackflag.png
blueflag.png

icon_kingpin.png
yellowflag.png

icon_thing.png
greenflag.png

icon_elektra.png
redflag.png

No sooner had I posted this then saw my first Gold in a minute, icon_gamora.png
blackflag.png
, so I think you might be on to something…

I’m going to post a “token odds stink” thread every single day! icon_lol.gif

J/K icon_e_wink.gif

DBC