In a post a while ago I was told “you get what you play for”. So since then I had decided to try it out. Today since I hit the 720 cp I could buy a single cover of a five star for I would pull my legendary.
Long story short:
I had 46 cp at the time of the quote below
Hit max progression in 11 PVE = 275
Hit 575 in 16 PVP = 160
Hit 1200 in 8 PVP = 120
Got 119 cp from random subs, champ lvl, placement rewards, shield intercept & VIP
Had 21 Latest from champ rewards, completing crashes, VIP etc.
Used 350 to open LL’s (14 tokens)
Used 360 to open CL’s (18 tokens)
Total opened - 53 tokens.
I got exactly 4 5 stars. (2 black bolt, 1 strange, 1 banner)
Pretty close to 7.5% exactly half of what I should have gotten.
You consider 53 pulls to be a statistically significant sample size? I’ve had runs of 0/50 - its a terrible mechanic but you don’t seems to see people on here complaining when they go 4/10.
I pulled8 classics the other day and got 4 5* 2 BSSM a SS and a banner. I was able to take my SS to 435 and will be able to now level my BSSM to 435. I really appreciate you taking all the bad RNG mojo for me.
I’ll add my stats to that then for the same period.
Season 9 total: 12/71
9 Season total: 85/545 including 5 sold
Season 10 so far: 7/44 (including 0/16 on Latest)
Total for now: 92/589 including 5 sold.
So opened 115 tokens vs your 53, 19 vs 4 opened. If you had been in a luckier streak, and got the expected 8, that would be normal spread.
You got unlucky in pulls, but my point still stands. You earned less than half the tokens I did in the same time frame. Therefore smaller sample size to even out pulls.
Since they changed the legendary tokens to have a 15% chance of giving a 5* cover:
17 Five Star covers out of 160 legendary tokens for a 10.6% pull rate. My sample size is stalled because I don’t have enough iso to keep up with champing max covered 4*'s so about 30 more tokens waiting to be opened.
I’d just hoard until the day they fix the 5* tier. Worst case scenario they never do, then at least you will have saved enough you can pull from latest enough to cover the 3 5* in there.
I just put it in an Excel spreadsheet every time I open one, it only takes a few seconds. I started doing it because I was thinking “There’s no way I’m pulling a 5* from 10% of my legendary tokens”. Turns out I wasn’t back then. Not pulling 15% now either.
I also just pull immediately and can’t hoard yet. I would say I mostly pull 4s. But at one point, I pulled three 5 caps in just one week. So there was that.