I am the guy who opened 2 mythics in 9 big boxes! AMA

[Volrak]

@Reaganstorme

Back to the maths for a moment though, the chances of receiving the same mythic in consecutive big boxes is much lower than receiving them from non-consecutive big boxes, right?

It depends what you mean precisely.

The overall chance of opening the same mythic you got in a previous box (or any other given mythic) in a future box increases as the overall number of boxes you open increases.

But the chance of getting the same mythic in BB #2 that you got in BB #1 is identical to the chance of getting the same mythic in BB #3 (or any other box) that you got in BB #1.

[Ohboy]

@Reaganstorme

@Ohboy

@Reaganstorme

@Ohboy

I see your gambler’s fallacy and raise you a Russell’s teapot!

I’ll call and raise with Occam’s Razor.

You can’t raise me if we’re playing the same hand lol.

Oh, yeah.

Was worth a shot.

Back to the maths for a moment though, the chances of receiving the same mythic in consecutive big boxes is much lower than receiving them from non-consecutive big boxes, right?

There’s no evidence of that. And if we assume pure randomness then it’s exactly the same.

What we were calculating was just pulling mythics, completely ignoring any other cards. It also ignored how many boxes you bought.