Well the title says it all, anybody can confirm that he has won a 4 in an standard token recently?
I used to win some XWolvie or IW a long time ago in standard tokens, but I know for a fact that I have not won a 4 in an standard token in the last year, and that is like 1000+ tokens (not enterely sure how many but I think I win like 20 tokens or a little bit more every week).
I think I get a 3 every 40-80 tokens, but 0 4s, so I am really unlucky or it is not possible to win them there anymore?
I got a
Nick Fury about three weeks ago from a Standard token. I also pulled a
Prof. X about two months ago. The probability has got to be incredibly small; I can’t even count how many standard tokens I had to open to get those two. But it’s still possible, and out of all the pulls I’ve gotten, these two were the most rewarding because they were so surprising.
I am on day 647 and have opened at least 2000 standard tokens and have never pulled a single 4*. I pull about 1-2 3* per month if I’m lucky so you must have amazing luck to get any 4* at all.
I have almost the exact same percentages from ~5,500 draws. I probably had another 1-2k tokens before I kept track, but have never pulled a 4*. Never pulled HP, either from standard tokens. I do wish they published the probability.
i also wish the people who pulled 4*'s participated in the draw rate tracking spreadsheet in the tips forum. No one there has reported anything but IW or XForce as of the last time I checked, so the probabilities recorded could be skewed…especially if the standard token odds changed when the others did.
Wow almost 4000 tokens and 0 draws, 5500 and 0 draws. I think I am around 2000 and 0 draws. I get that random is random but this is not right, if the chance is 0.001% and you open 2000 the system needs to notice and give you one 4
Lets all hope someday they implement an assisted rng system
I suspect its because the odds are different depending on if you spent ISO for the token, or if you earned it. I’ve heard it mentioned that earned Tokens can drop 3 stars and 4 stars, but Iso bought tokens cap at 2 stars. Or possibly 1 stars.
I buy standards with ISO occasionally. Got a hell of a lot of 3s from them.
Once got 3 3s in around 20 pulls. Two of those only had one 1* between them.
Edit: incidentally, I feel like I get more 3*s from standards than I do heroic. But I probably owe that to how many you get and how many I’ve bought with 500 ISO.
I track my tokens - for me it’s part of the fun. At this time I’ve opened 3044 standard tokens and gotten the following spread:
2502 82.2%
** 469 15.4%
*** 73 2.4%
**** 0 0.0%
So 0 4*s out of nearly 3050. I assume the chance is somewhere around .1% - sure statastically you’ll get one every 1000, but going by 3 “chances” is not unlikely at all.
In random batches - rarely more than 10 at a time. Meh. I’m sure it’s a small chance, and when it is a small chance you’re statistically unlikely on any particular pull to get a 4*. That in turn means that it’s still not all that strange to go a long time without pulling one.